Most People Have Enough to Retire.
Almost Nobody Has a Plan to Retire.
By Phillip Smith, CRPC®, AIF®, TPCP® | Financial Planner | Tidepool Wealth Strategies
There's a version of this conversation I've had...well, many times now.
Someone sits down across from me, or joins a Zoom meeting, and they're convinced they're behind. They've been saving for decades. They've done the responsible thing. They've listened to financial media and heard the numbers. And when retirement starts coming into focus, the feeling is less "I've got this" and more "I hope this works."
Here's what I've noticed: it's almost never a savings problem. It's a "not knowing" problem.
The money's there. The accounts exist. Social Security is coming. Maybe there's a pension. And maybe there's a paid-off house (awesome!). The ingredients are all on the counter. What's missing is the recipe: the order of blending, letting things rest, turning up the heat (is this analogy 'cooking' for you?) that turns a collection of accounts into a perfectly baked retirement income plan.
I'd like to show you what that looks like in practice. Three different scenarios with three different situations. One pattern that shows up every time. (and one coincidence: all ended up solving for a pre-65 retirement)
Sarah: The Therapist Who Thought She Had to Work Until 65
Sarah's a self-employed therapist in Oregon. Sixty years old, $800,000 in retirement accounts, $225,000 in cash, no debt. By most measures, she'd done everything right.
And yet she was convinced she had no choice but to work until 65. Not because she wanted to. Because she believed she couldn't afford health insurance before Medicare, and that retiring early meant claiming Social Security at 62 just to survive the gap.
What the plan revealed: she could retire at 64. The healthcare gap was solvable through managed taxable income and ACA marketplace subsidies. Social Security at 62 felt safe but was actually the most expensive decision she could make - delaying to 68 created a meaningfully better lifetime outcome given her family history. And her S-Corp salary, which hadn't changed in years, was actually suppressing her future Social Security benefit during her highest-earning years.
She didn't need more money. She needed to see how the pieces fit together - and in what order.
The Pattern Hiding in Plain Sight
Sarah assumed retirement at 64 was financially impossible. The actual obstacle wasn't her account balance; it was absence of a coordinated plan. Healthcare, Social Security timing, and salary structure were all working against her without her knowing it. Addressing all three changed the outcome entirely.
The Oregon PERS Couple: Retiring Together, Earlier Than They Thought
A Lane County couple came in with a specific fear: he thought he needed to work until 67 because they couldn't figure out how to bridge the gap between her PERS teacher's pension, their combined Social Security benefits, a pile of pre-tax retirement accounts, and an inherited taxable investment account they'd never touched because they assumed it was a tax trap.
He was putting in 50-hour weeks because of staffing shortages. She was ready to retire. They wanted to do it together.
What the plan revealed: he didn't need to work until 67. A joint retirement at 64 (him) and 62 (her) was fully viable. The inherited account, which they'd avoided for two years out of capital gains fear, actually had far less tax exposure than they'd assumed, and contained positions sitting at a loss that could be harvested for cash. That cash helped eliminate a car loan. A 7% HELOC was eroding their net worth every month. And a Roth conversion strategy projected to save over $700,000 in lifetime taxes had simply never been on their radar.
They weren't behind. They just didn't know what was possible.
Quick Reality Check
An inherited account they'd been afraid to touch for two years turned out to have less capital gains exposure than expected ~ and contained losses they could 'harvest' (sell and realize the loss for tax purposes) for cash! The thing they were most worried about became one of their most useful planning tools. This is what happens when you actually look at the numbers instead of assuming the worst.
Jack and Jane: The Plan That Got Better When He Decided to Wait
Jack and Jane are both 61. He manages operations at a lumber company. She recently retired from a non-profit. He caught the retirement itch almost immediately after she left.
They came in with a spending estimate that turned out to be about $1,000 per month low, a plan for Jane to claim Social Security at 62 that would've permanently reduced her benefit by over 30%, and a portfolio sitting almost entirely in pre-tax accounts with a future RMD problem they hadn't yet noticed.
What the plan revealed: they could retire before Medicare. The healthcare gap was workable through ACA subsidies that brought their monthly premium down to $78. Social Security delay made a significant difference for lifetime income and survivor protection. And here's the part nobody saw coming:
Jack decided to work 16 more months.
Not out of fear, but because of clarity. That decision let them do a $60,000 Roth conversion this year, while he's still the only earner and IRMAA is years away from mattering. It let them redirect retirement contributions to the mortgage and plan to pay it off entirely the month he retires. And it pushed their retirement date to 63, debt-free, with a lower monthly income need and a Roth balance already in place for the pre-Medicare years.
By age 68, when Jack's Social Security turns on, their portfolio drawdown drops to zero. The accounts stop being touched and start being left alone to grow toward RMDs, with a tax-diversified balance sheet and a surviving spouse who's protected.
They had enough fuel. What they needed was the roadmap.
The Part Nobody Saw Coming
Working 16 more months wasn't a setback. It was a strategy. It unlocked a Roth conversion opportunity, eliminated the mortgage at retirement, and extended the cash runway enough to make ACA subsidies work in their favor. The plan didn't get worse when Jack decided to keep working just a little longer. It got significantly better.
The Pattern
Every one of these conversations started the same way. Someone arrived thinking the problem was a number: not enough saved, not enough time, not enough certainty.
The actual problem was almost always order and timing. Which account do you draw from first? When do you claim Social Security? What do you do about healthcare before Medicare? How do you manage taxes across a 25+-year retirement without accidentally building a tax bomb for your 80s?
These aren't investment questions. They're coordination questions. They are, dare I say, important and worthwhile planning questions. And the answers are different for every household.
If you're within 5-7 years of retirement and you haven't had this kind of conversation yet, that's worth paying attention to. The window to coordinate these decisions well isn't unlimited.
The retirement you've been building toward deserves more than a guess at the finish line.
Let's Take Some Action on This...
- Pull up your retirement account balances and ask: what percentage is in pre-tax accounts? If the answer is "most of it," you likely have a future tax problem with a limited window to address it. That window is worth knowing about.
- If you're planning to retire before 65, price out health insurance on your state's marketplace using your projected retirement income. The number may surprise you, but so might the subsidy you qualify for with the right income strategy.
- Write down when you're planning to claim Social Security. Then ask yourself: have you ever actually modeled the difference between claiming at 62, at your full retirement age, and at 70? If not, that's the most important 30-minute exercise in retirement planning you haven't done yet.
Remember, it's not about having the smartest financial advisor, the most money saved, or the highest probability of retirement success. The perfect retirement plan for you is the one you act on!
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Disclosure: This post is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute personalized financial, tax, or legal advice. Tax rules, Medicare premiums, and healthcare costs are subject to change. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor and tax professional before making retirement planning decisions. Any references to persons or situations is hypothetical and for illustrative purposes only.